Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031337 0.037104 0.043103 0.049771 0.056938 0.064377 0.072647
2025-12-21 0.022580 0.030721 0.039745 0.050305 0.062159 0.074917 0.089555
2025-12-28 0.019082 0.028988 0.040502 0.054457 0.070565 0.088282 0.108978
2026-01-04 0.013895 0.024248 0.036980 0.053021 0.072072 0.093481 0.118921
2026-01-11 0.011038 0.021859 0.035832 0.053984 0.076011 0.101152 0.131384
2026-01-18 0.008552 0.019498 0.034373 0.054284 0.078934 0.107465 0.142134
2026-01-25 0.006658 0.017612 0.033273 0.054822 0.081976 0.113783 0.152775
2026-02-01 0.004968 0.015675 0.031867 0.054788 0.084176 0.118996 0.162039
2026-02-08 0.003061 0.012820 0.028838 0.052384 0.083244 0.120327 0.166626
2026-02-15 0.001956 0.011051 0.027171 0.051631 0.084259 0.123899 0.173766
2026-02-22 0.001352 0.010113 0.026660 0.052378 0.087127 0.129673 0.183482
2026-03-01 0.000911 0.009353 0.026339 0.053328 0.090214 0.135684 0.193458
2026-03-08 0.000644 0.008995 0.026729 0.055404 0.094940 0.143931 0.206393
2026-03-15 0.000332 0.008170 0.026238 0.056184 0.097971 0.150113 0.216902
2026-03-22 0.000332 0.008724 0.028223 0.060614 0.105862 0.162359 0.234755
2026-03-29 0.000058 0.007195 0.026257 0.059100 0.105771 0.164607 0.240480
2026-04-05 0.000004 0.006632 0.026014 0.060120 0.109044 0.171045 0.251271
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005905 0.025348 0.060437 0.111330 0.176216 0.260500
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005316 0.024875 0.061006 0.113929 0.181763 0.270173
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004620 0.024055 0.060970 0.115656 0.186174 0.278431
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003404 0.021765 0.058427 0.113803 0.185933 0.280893
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002729 0.020597 0.057630 0.114338 0.188718 0.287060
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002437 0.020391 0.058421 0.117107 0.194379 0.296788